Pre-tourney Rankings
Idaho St.
Big Sky
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.9#332
Expected Predictive Rating-14.5#336
Pace68.7#146
Improvement+1.2#111

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#283
First Shot-2.2#242
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#320
Layup/Dunks-3.1#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#162
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#134
Freethrows-0.5#206
Improvement+1.9#71

Defense
Total Defense-8.5#339
First Shot-6.7#340
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#319
Layups/Dunks+1.3#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#310
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#344
Freethrows+0.7#132
Improvement-0.8#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 118   @ New Mexico L 70-81 6%     0 - 1 -5.8 -0.3 -5.6
  Nov 16, 2016 190   @ Utah Valley L 73-82 10%     0 - 2 -7.8 -2.8 -4.3
  Nov 19, 2016 121   @ Utah St. L 51-85 6%     0 - 3 -29.1 -20.4 -8.4
  Nov 22, 2016 273   Eastern Kentucky L 82-91 OT 28%     0 - 4 -15.8 -7.6 -6.6
  Nov 23, 2016 294   NJIT L 67-71 33%     0 - 5 -12.4 -5.4 -7.2
  Nov 25, 2016 45   @ Texas Tech L 58-91 2%     0 - 6 -19.2 +0.4 -25.1
  Nov 29, 2016 233   Lamar W 77-60 29%     1 - 6 +9.9 -0.8 +10.6
  Dec 03, 2016 280   @ Cal St. Northridge L 76-79 22%     1 - 7 -8.0 +1.5 -9.7
  Dec 07, 2016 23   @ Wisconsin L 44-78 1%     1 - 8 -15.7 -13.5 -5.7
  Dec 18, 2016 96   @ Boise St. L 59-82 4%     1 - 9 -15.8 -5.6 -12.5
  Dec 20, 2016 74   @ BYU L 58-84 3%     1 - 10 -15.9 -14.9 +1.4
  Dec 29, 2016 198   @ Montana L 62-74 11%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -11.6 -5.6 -7.3
  Dec 31, 2016 243   @ Montana St. L 63-80 16%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -19.4 -8.7 -11.6
  Jan 12, 2017 186   Eastern Washington L 85-92 19%     1 - 13 0 - 3 -10.6 +3.6 -13.8
  Jan 14, 2017 221   Idaho L 62-77 26%     1 - 14 0 - 4 -21.3 -7.2 -15.7
  Jan 19, 2017 284   @ Northern Colorado W 73-69 23%     2 - 14 1 - 4 -1.2 +6.4 -7.3
  Jan 21, 2017 172   @ North Dakota L 64-89 8%     2 - 15 1 - 5 -22.7 -5.4 -17.7
  Jan 25, 2017 184   Weber St. L 73-85 19%     2 - 16 1 - 6 -15.5 -5.4 -10.0
  Jan 27, 2017 184   @ Weber St. L 74-96 9%     2 - 17 1 - 7 -20.4 -1.8 -18.4
  Feb 02, 2017 323   Northern Arizona W 91-90 OT 52%     3 - 17 2 - 7 -12.3 +5.3 -17.8
  Feb 04, 2017 334   Southern Utah W 94-68 61%     4 - 17 3 - 7 +10.1 +4.2 +4.6
  Feb 09, 2017 250   @ Portland St. L 69-74 17%     4 - 18 3 - 8 -7.8 -12.1 +4.7
  Feb 11, 2017 283   @ Sacramento St. L 63-75 23%     4 - 19 3 - 9 -17.2 -1.4 -18.2
  Feb 16, 2017 172   North Dakota L 61-77 17%     4 - 20 3 - 10 -18.7 -11.4 -7.5
  Feb 18, 2017 284   Northern Colorado L 81-87 40%     4 - 21 3 - 11 -16.3 +5.3 -21.6
  Feb 23, 2017 221   @ Idaho L 61-69 14%     4 - 22 3 - 12 -9.3 -13.3 +4.1
  Feb 25, 2017 186   @ Eastern Washington L 77-89 9%     4 - 23 3 - 13 -10.5 +0.5 -10.7
  Mar 02, 2017 243   Montana St. L 68-79 30%     4 - 24 3 - 14 -18.4 -4.4 -14.9
  Mar 04, 2017 198   Montana L 76-95 22%     4 - 25 3 - 15 -23.7 -0.4 -23.4
  Mar 07, 2017 283   Sacramento St. L 76-91 31%     4 - 26 -22.7 +1.7 -25.2
Projected Record 4.0 - 26.0 3.0 - 15.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%